Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.190904 2.501341 2.840686 3.239277 3.694817 4.199420 4.801106
2025-08-17 1.666451 2.075650 2.563487 3.188467 3.968846 4.912448 6.142218
2025-08-24 1.423832 1.882502 2.462838 3.252085 4.299589 5.645232 7.510437
2025-08-31 1.249311 1.734343 2.378639 3.298863 4.582966 6.316753 8.845208
2025-09-07 1.095926 1.586858 2.266994 3.280475 4.757480 6.839755 10.013554
2025-09-14 0.962640 1.447177 2.144087 3.222639 4.856701 7.251203 11.048333
2025-09-21 0.861446 1.340161 2.052658 3.194164 4.986149 7.706718 12.180540
2025-09-28 0.772125 1.239754 1.958074 3.146319 5.073997 8.098115 13.241505
2025-10-05 0.753691 1.247155 2.028333 3.360642 5.591005 9.201460 15.543515
2025-10-12 0.699012 1.189463 1.987880 3.388820 5.803625 9.828498 17.114500
2025-10-19 0.668051 1.167526 2.002637 3.508303 6.177238 10.751866 19.275518
2025-10-26 0.615661 1.103283 1.939293 3.485587 6.299672 11.251896 20.733724
2025-11-02 0.560395 1.032578 1.864982 3.448952 6.417274 11.796409 22.412831
2025-11-09 0.507205 0.960849 1.783093 3.392722 6.498688 12.294776 24.086854
2025-11-16 0.477330 0.928798 1.769356 3.460581 6.817756 13.263185 26.768402
2025-11-23 0.448252 0.894872 1.748051 3.510404 7.105158 14.197610 29.485489
2025-11-30 0.414112 0.847180 1.695000 3.490817 7.250216 14.863592 31.725460
2025-12-07 0.379075 0.793885 1.625269 3.429212 7.300981 15.340968 33.618270
2025-12-14 0.350836 0.751634 1.573459 3.398882 7.412878 15.953941 35.869787
2025-12-21 0.323456 0.708331 1.515062 3.347920 7.473793 16.462372 37.943450
2025-12-28 0.323048 0.723362 1.581420 3.576210 8.174915 18.437026 43.583948
2026-01-04 0.305778 0.699185 1.560362 3.606225 8.429848 19.440403 47.067412
2026-01-11 0.297368 0.694171 1.581026 3.733502 8.922613 21.036071 52.151783